Sunday, October 8, 2017

US Commander:Final Assault to Take Raqqa From ISIS Begins Sunday

Updated: please scroll down

Jerusalem Post

Today. Because ISIS has massed in a “sports stadium” to either fight like a gladiator to their death or .... be massacred. Seriously, that’s what’s being reported
ISIS is massing in a sports stadium- massing there to resist or die.
You need to imagine me rolling my eyes at this claim.

What I think is much more likely!   

"ISIS"(PKK/YPG/Assorted special ops and a veneer of Arabs) is converging in one convenient location where they will be loaded up covertly and transported to Deir ez Zor. To fight SAA and allies. 
 After all a stadium is convenient location for an irregular army to converge for ease of transport. This move can easily be obscured by darkness. The presence of other troops. Distracting/frightening gunfire sure to keep the curious away. What a great way to hide from civilians and other prying eyes while covertly moving fighters from one place (Raqqa) to another (Deir ez Zor)
Hopefully there will be some eyes in the skies watching...

Amassing in a stadium to fight to the death is simply bizarre

“The assault on militants in the center of the northern city will focus on surrounding the sports stadium there, said a field commander in the Syrian
Democratic Forces (SDF) in western Raqqa, who gave his name as Ardal Raqqa. (PKK/YPG)

"Daesh is massing there because this is the last stage. They will resist, or they will surrender or die," he said. "This their last stand to the death."

Reuters. Com and Reuters UK are reporting the same stadium location news as the final assault on ISIS
The assault on militants in the center of the northern city will focus on surrounding the sports stadium there, said a field commander in the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in western Raqqa, who gave his name as Ardal Raqqa.

“Daesh is massing there because this is the last stage. They will resist, or they will surrender or die,” he said. “This their last stand to the death.”
 "Last stand to the death"? Like Custer and his last stand?  How very dramatic!
Sorry,  I'm not buying this rubbish.  After the great ISIS "surrenders", the US and friends will load'em up, under cover of darkness and move them to a new fighting location. Which as I've suggested will be Deir ez Zor, where we've seen SAA make advances the US did not want them to make!

Friday: SAA Fights Way Into "ISIS Stronghold" Blow to US backed PKK/YPG/SDF

 "Last week the US-led military coalition said its Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) allies would attempt to seize Mayadeen before the army"

SDF didn't seize Mayadeen

Saturday: Syria: Walkin' the Razor's Edge? US Shells SAA/Casualties


Widely ignored that the US bombed SAA and allies. 
I mentioned this could escalate- This sudden move on Raqqa might just be the impetus for that escalation in Deir ez Zor. 

UPDATE BEGINS: 3:17 EST- 10:17 PM Syria

ISIS has managed to force SAA out of Mayadeen- Syrian and Russian Airforces are bombing

Link : Islamic State expels Syrian forces from key bastion Mayadeen

Town now target of intensive air strikes by both government and Russian aircraft
 
Islamic State (IS) group fighters succeeded on Sunday in expelling Syrian government forces from the eastern town of Mayadeen, days after they entered the key remaining militant stronghold, a monitor said.
Backed by Russian air power, Syrian forces had managed to fight their way into western Mayadeen on Friday.
As reported here on Friday: SAA Fights Way Into "ISIS Stronghold" Blow to US backed PKK/YPG/SDF
"Counter-offensives by IS managed to force the regime fighters away from the western outskirts of Mayadeen," the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.
Syrian forces were now 6km from the town, which was being targeted by "intensive air strikes carried out by both regime and Russian aircraft".

7 comments:

  1. You do a great job focussing on the critical issues in Syria. Would you agree that the increasingly central problem is becoming the refusal of the SAA and the Russians to target US forces be it planes bombing civilians or special forces embedded with terrorists.
    The fear is of rapid escalation and ww3. Is that realistic in your view?

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  2. "The fear is of rapid escalation and ww3. Is that realistic in your view?"

    Yes, it is realistic in my view. This could easily spiral out of control, in my opinion. I'm no expert but this situation is frightful.

    Israel is quite the wild card in this scenario- How far are they willing to go to create their expanded Israel??
    And reign in Iran at the same time?
    How far is the US willing to go to assist them?


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    Replies
    1. Putin has repeated wanred via the SCo - counter terror training and joint air defense integration CSTO - of the ISIS creep into Afghan and Eurasia. What do the Syrian allegations against US have to do with Afghanistan?

      https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201710041057942188-us-support-terrorists-obstacle-syria/

      Delete
    2. Thanks for replying. If the US can go around bombing Syria/Iraq etc at will, it makes them undefeatable doesn't it?

      Delete
    3. anon october 08/17 "What do the Syrian allegations against US have to do with Afghanistan?"

      I'm not sure? Other then to imply the US is playing the same roll in both situations?
      Do you think they are related and if so how?

      Delete
    4. AnonymousOctober 9, 2017 at 7:18 AM

      "If the US can go around bombing Syria/Iraq etc at will, it makes them undefeatable doesn't it?"

      I'd say so, because they basically do what the hell they want unchallenged more or less.
      Perhaps their own hubris will be their downfall?

      When a party is so assured of winning perhaps it makes them sloppy- or take unnecessary chances that can be exploited by others?
      Just speculating...

      Delete
  3. An example of Israel's mad dog attitude:
    http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5025800,00.html

    Israel-Iran conflict in Syria reaching point of no return

    "As Tehran keeps ignoring the Israeli warnings against an Iranian expansion in the Middle East, the atmosphere created by the Trump administration against the nuclear agreement is only adding fuel to the fire. The effort to prevent a deterioration will resume immediately after the High Holy Days, but if the diplomatic move fails—Israel is likely headed toward a conflict with Iran.

    The Iranian regime, it seems, isn’t taking the public warnings issued by the Israeli defense establishment heads seriously and is hectically pursuing its talks with the Syrian regime, as well as patrols in search of a military airport near Damascus which would serve as a base for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ combat squadrons.



    At the same time, the Iranians and the Syrians are making progress in the talks for an autonomic Iranian military pier in the Tartus port and the creation of an Iranian division on Syrian soil.



    Israel, however, has made it clear both to the Iranians and the Syrians, as well as to the Russians, that it will not allow any Iranian presence in Syria, especially war planes or an Iranian pier in the Tartus port.

    According to the Israeli policy in the current crisis, there is no diplomatic way of bringing about a significant change in Iran’s regional conduct. Thus the only way to deal with it is by stepping up the sanctions—in other words, punitive measures—or through “a different crisis” in the form of a military threat against Iran, in Syria or in any other arena in the region

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